Researchers double US coronavirus death forecast as curbs eased

Researchers double US coronavirus death forecast as curbs eased

A newly revised coronavirus mortality model predicts nearly 135,000 Americans will die from COVID-19 by early August, almost double previous projections, as physical-distancing measures for quelling the pandemic are increasingly relaxed, according to researchers.

The new forecast from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) reflects “rising mobility in most US states” with an easing of business closures and stay-at-home orders expected in 31 states by May 11, the institute said on Monday.

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“We expect that the epidemic in many states will now extend through the summer,” IHME director, Dr Christopher Murray, said in a statement.

The projections reinforced warnings from public health experts that the clamour to lift restrictions on…



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